Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 4.769080 5.153192 5.568681 6.054190 6.609417 7.228774 7.977914
2025-06-22 4.029626 4.532164 5.112249 5.841106 6.746890 7.856075 9.351298
2025-06-29 3.595519 4.148100 4.813383 5.691330 6.848688 8.368584 10.603520
2025-07-06 3.293131 3.871062 4.589101 5.573144 6.932826 8.825390 11.829352
2025-07-13 3.091866 3.692917 4.460200 5.547393 7.115243 9.420765 13.368808
2025-07-20 2.974695 3.607676 4.437210 5.652082 7.482083 10.333935 15.648745
2025-07-27 2.888084 3.552404 4.444590 5.793025 7.912886 11.417686 18.573871
2025-08-03 2.773272 3.448729 4.373431 5.806577 8.139779 12.195567 21.183598
2025-08-10 2.643781 3.315396 4.248541 5.723530 8.192926 12.666300 23.307802
2025-08-17 2.504169 3.159487 4.079865 5.555960 8.079522 12.798049 24.677119
2025-08-24 2.398549 3.045822 3.965413 5.463484 8.083856 13.159441 26.805665
2025-08-31 2.342930 3.000237 3.948210 5.524760 8.368519 14.152032 31.262472
2025-09-07 2.292530 2.962964 3.946127 5.619718 8.747260 15.488110 38.022526
2025-09-14 2.173741 2.820257 3.774972 5.416206 8.530241 15.416018 39.787546
2025-09-21 2.080224 2.710849 3.649592 5.281866 8.434487 15.621554 42.929034
2025-09-28 2.000584 2.618513 3.545737 5.176551 8.383822 15.930409 46.902481
2025-10-05 1.944694 2.559366 3.491021 5.153599 8.500205 16.709115 54.228755
2025-10-12 1.916939 2.541396 3.500741 5.246829 8.876214 18.323095 69.391936
2025-10-19 1.897000 2.534193 3.527009 5.372171 9.343110 20.393632 94.374708
2025-10-26 1.856561 2.493229 3.494976 5.384212 9.552237 21.740699 119.447836
2025-11-02 1.802844 2.429349 3.421393 5.310394 9.547237 22.363145 140.087200
2025-11-09 1.738576 2.346733 3.312796 5.161232 9.341908 22.210160 149.635315
2025-11-16 1.689466 2.286658 3.240155 5.078792 9.294061 22.645979 173.524551